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Nearly 100 million people live in and depend on the Sahel for agriculture and natural resources. The region is sensitive to natural climate and environment variations caused by the seasonal movement of the tropical rainbelt. In the paleoclimate record, insolation plays a clear role on West African Monsoon strength, but responses to other forcings like temperature, greenhouse gases, ice volume, and land surface cover are unclear due to the lack of highly resolved, terrestrial records that span major global and regional shifts through time. Here we present leaf wax precipitation and vegetation records from five targeted study windows throughout the last 25 million years, derived from long-chain n-alkane hydrogen (dD_wax) and carbon (d13C_wax) isotopes, respectively, in a sediment core from ODP Site 959 in the Gulf of Guinea, where westerly winds and major river systems transport Western Sahel-sourced material. Analyses of trend and variability document a range of rainfall and vegetation responses to orbital forcings in different boundary conditions in the Oligocene, Miocene, Pliocene, and Pleistocene. We find that both the climate and environment was more variable in times of higher CO2 and global temperatures, suggesting an increase in ecosystem instability moving forward into the future. Because of the high resolution and temporal coverage of these new biomarker isotope records, we can examine relationships between precipitation and vegetation fluctuations, even prior to C4-expansion when there was a strong correlation despite minimal variation in d13C_wax in a C3 world. Further, we find a drying trend throughout the record, demonstrating that vegetation on long timescales was decoupled from hydroclimate and was like driven by global CO2, advancing our understanding of climate and ecosystem relationships across the Cenozoic. 

Nearly 100 million people live in and depend on the Sahel for agriculture and natural resources. The region is sensitive to natural climate and environment variations caused by the seasonal movement of the tropical rainbelt. In the paleoclimate record, insolation plays a clear role on West African Monsoon strength, but responses to other forcings like temperature, greenhouse gases, ice volume, and land surface cover are unclear due to the lack of highly resolved, terrestrial records that span major global and regional shifts through time. Here we present leaf wax precipitation and vegetation records from several targeted study windows throughout the last 25 million years, derived from long-chain n-alkane hydrogen (δDwax) and carbon (δ13Cwax) isotopes, respectively, in a sediment core from ODP Site 959 in the Gulf of Guinea, where westerly winds and major river systems transport Western Sahel-sourced material. Analyses of trend and variability document a range of rainfall and vegetation responses to orbital forcings in different boundary conditions in the Oligocene, Miocene, Pliocene, and Pleistocene. We find that both the climate and environment was more variable in times of higher CO2 and global temperatures, suggesting an increase in ecosystem instability moving forward into the future. Because of the high resolution and temporal coverage of these new biomarker isotope records, we can examine relationships between precipitation and vegetation fluctuations, even prior to C4-expansion when there was a strong correlation despite minimal variation in δ13Cwax in a C3 world. Further, we find a wetting trend throughout the record, demonstrating that vegetation on long timescales was decoupled from hydroclimate and that the terrestrial ecosystem may face aridification, contradicting some model projections. 

Wildfires are essential to terrestrial ecosystems, playing a crucial role in nutrient and carbon cycles, particularly in highly seasonal environments like the Western Sahel. Their occurrence is linked to complex feedback mechanisms between climate, landscape structure, vegetation and the carbon cycle. It is therefore central to understand wildfire dynamics in the context of paleoclimatic and environmental change. Here we present a record of 3 to 7 ringed polyaromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), from five targeted study windows throughout the last 25 million years from ODP Site 959 in the Gulf of Guinea. The time windows target the effects of orbital forcings of the West African Monsoon on wildfire and vegetation responses in different boundary conditions in the Oligocene, Miocene, Pliocene, and Pleistocene, including shifts in global temperatures, greenhouse gas concentrations, and regional land surface. Orbitally resolved PAH biomarkers can provide insight into fire activity and be coupled with changing precipitation patterns and biomes. We discuss PAH sources and how wildfire frequency is linked to the observed drying trend, climate variability, and vegetation expansion throughout the Cenozoic in the Western Sahel. These findings are central for understanding future wildfire dynamics in the vulnerable Western Sahel region in the light of global warming. 

The Sahel is highly sensitive to flooding, droughts, and wildfires, risking food and other resources on which nearly 100 million people depend. Understanding how natural variations of precipitation and vegetation fluctuate during high-amplitude glacial- interglacial cycles can help constrain the regional sensitivity to a wide range of external forcings. Further, the interactions between climate and ecosystem changes remain uncertain for sub-Saharan Africa due to the lack of long, highly-resolved, quantitative, terrestrial records. Here we present precipitation and vegetation records from ~215 ka to present, derived from long leaf wax hydrogen (δDwax) and carbon (δ13Cwax) isotopes, respectively. These geochemical records are derived from ODP Site 959 in the Gulf of Guinea, where westerly winds and major river systems transport Western Sahel-sourced terrestrial leaf waxes. We find that, unlike many African records that are precessionally- driven, obliquity plays an important role in West African late Pleistocene hydroclimate, suggesting that a cross-equatorial insolation gradient may be more important in this area and certainly that drivers of orbital-scale precipitation change are regionally-specific. Further, vegetation changes appear to have a complex relationship with hydroclimate over this mid-late Pleistocene interval. A potential shift in this climate-environment coupling at MIS6 ~130 ka, which is a time when there is also a shift in forcing mechanisms in East Africa, suggests that the global boundary condition changes associated with large glacial- interglacial cycling may affect equatorial climate. 

Abstract Understanding eastern African paleoclimate is critical for contextualizing early human evolution, adaptation, and dispersal, yet Pleistocene climate of this region and its governing mechanisms remain poorly understood due to the lack of long, orbitally-resolved, terrestrial paleoclimate records. Here we present leaf wax hydrogen isotope records of rainfall from paleolake sediment cores from key time windows that resolve long-term trends, variations, and high-latitude effects on tropical African precipitation. Eastern African rainfall was dominantly controlled by variations in low-latitude summer insolation during most of the early and middle Pleistocene, with little evidence that glacial–interglacial cycles impacted rainfall until the late Pleistocene. We observe the influence of high-latitude-driven climate processes emerging from the last interglacial (Marine Isotope Stage 5) to the present, an interval when glacial–interglacial cycles were strong and insolation forcing was weak. Our results demonstrate a variable response of eastern African rainfall to low-latitude insolation forcing and high-latitude-driven climate change, likely related to the relative strengths of these forcings through time and a threshold in monsoon sensitivity. We observe little difference in mean rainfall between the early, middle, and late Pleistocene, which suggests that orbitally-driven climate variations likely played a more significant role than gradual change in the relationship between early humans and their environment. 

Significance We have developed an Africa-wide synthesis of paleoenvironmental variability over the Plio-Pleistocene. We show that there is strong evidence for orbital forcing of variability during this time that is superimposed on a longer trend of increasing environmental variability, supporting a combination of both low- and high-latitude drivers of variability. We combine these results with robust estimates of mammalian speciation and extinction rates and find that variability is not significantly correlated with these rates. These findings do not currently support a link between environmental variability and turnover and thus fail to corroborate predictions derived from the variability selection hypothesis.